jan_andrea: (sarah)
[personal profile] jan_andrea
She could be president. SHE could be PRESIDENT. President.



Gaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhh

McCain's got an actuarial life expectancy of 2-4 more years, folks.

If you're the praying type, please pray :(

Date: 2008-09-24 07:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] allyphoe.livejournal.com
Not that I disagree with you on the conclusions or anything...

How do you figure his actuarial life expectancy? The IRS tables for calculating required minimum distributions from retirement accounts, which are intended to make sure that you take your money out at least as fast as "over your remaining life expectancy" say a 72yo has an average 15.5 year remaining life expectancy. (I'm using the beneficiary table; the "normal" joint-and-survivor's table is based on the last to die of two people.)

You can't just say "white males have an average life expectancy of 74," because that's life expectancy at birth. By the time you're 72, you've already managed to not die in the most-dangerous first year of life (or any of the other years prior to 71). You have to look at a pool of people who are 71 today, and see what their mortality curve looks like.

See also http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/998080/john_mccain_too_old_for_the_presidency.html, which says 9.5 years of actuarial life expectancy.

Date: 2008-09-24 08:02 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jan-andrea.livejournal.com
I probably used the wrong term, but apparently with the type of skin cancer he had/has, he's looking at 2-4 years. From here (http://www.alternet.org/story/100069/has_sarah_palin_been_picked_as_the_titular_head_of_the_coming_police_state/?page=entire): "Reputable dermatologists are discussing the fact that in simply actuarial terms, John McCain has a virulent and life-threatening form of skin cancer. It is the elephant in the room, but we must discuss the health of the candidates: doctors put survival rates for someone his age at two to four years."

Not exactly a neutral source, of course, but what he's been through in his life isn't doing him any favors :(

Date: 2008-09-24 08:49 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kris1225.livejournal.com
fucking scary.

Date: 2008-09-24 08:59 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cad-red-ducati.livejournal.com
Oh dear Lord deliver us...

by the way, as someone who does belive in God (Goddess, etc) I am totally offended by the way those folks talk about owning God. hello? it's God, people.... but they only seem intrested in God as much as they can use the concept to justify their own warped view of the world. for all their harping about abortion and gay marriage, where is all the engery about doing something about poverty? That was something Jesus talked about, a lot.

Date: 2008-09-25 02:21 am (UTC)

Date: 2008-09-24 09:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] crimson-musing.livejournal.com
It won't happen. It can't happen.
I'm moving to Canada if it does.

-Leslie (we met at the conference)

Date: 2008-09-24 09:09 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] the-leh.livejournal.com
Why do you say that about McCain's life expectancy?

I can't stand Sarah Palin. Hearing her interviewed makes me want to bang my head against the desk.

Date: 2008-09-24 09:33 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] joy-disaster.livejournal.com
UGH.

I think she is being set up as a kind of Dubya II - a dimwit with little experience but who can hide behind the banner of "criticism won't stick cuz I am a CHRISTIAN!" and be basically a puppet. This was probably begun with Quayle, perfected with dubya.

Date: 2008-09-25 02:26 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nice-heart.livejournal.com
If you're the "praying" type, you're probably happy with Palin. ;)

But I'm glad to hear McCain would like to postpone his campaign for a while. ???

Date: 2008-09-25 01:48 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] pudgybudgie.livejournal.com
Rolling Stone magazine had a great article about her this week.

Date: 2008-09-25 03:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sweetspaci.livejournal.com
I can't stomach it. I literally am filled with anxiety every time I see that woman and hear what comes out of her mouth. We are headed down a very bad road if America does not pull its collective head out of its $%#

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Jan Heirtzler

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